Eunomia

Eunomia

Share this post

Eunomia
Eunomia
Why Hawks Keep Getting Russia Wrong

Why Hawks Keep Getting Russia Wrong

Exaggerating the threat and misunderstanding what Russia wants are good ways to blunder into a serious crisis.

Daniel Larison's avatar
Daniel Larison
Nov 19, 2021
∙ Paid
8

Share this post

Eunomia
Eunomia
Why Hawks Keep Getting Russia Wrong
3
Share

Jeff Hawn makes a persuasive case that Russia is not going to attack Ukraine:

But is Russia actually about to attack Ukraine? The answer, based on the empirical evidence, seems to be a resounding no. These moves might be disturbing, especially given Russia’s history in Ukraine—but they don’t presage war.

Kelley Vlahos and I talked about this subject durin…

This post is for paid subscribers

Already a paid subscriber? Sign in
© 2025 Daniel Larison
Privacy ∙ Terms ∙ Collection notice
Start writingGet the app
Substack is the home for great culture

Share