Taiwan and U.S. Alliances

U.S. allies in East Asia would draw closer to the U.S. in response to a takeover of Taiwan.

Richard Haass makes a provocative assertion and then completely fails to back it up:

But allowing China to coerce or absorb Taiwan would undermine or even end the U.S. alliance system in Asia. Governments would either be inclined to defer to China — an Asian version of Finlandization — or become more autonomous, which could lead to conventional military …